After a long, fractured season we have now reached the final set of games for the 2022/23 Premier League season.

Manchester City were confirmed as Champions last weekend by virtue of Arsenal’s 1-0 loss away to Nottingham Forest, a result which ensures that Steve Cooper’s Forest side will play for another season in the Premier League.

Newcastle United joined Arsenal and Man City in next season’s Champions League after their draw with Leicester on Monday night, while Manchester United need just one point from their final two games in order to ensure they finish fourth and condemn Liverpool to a Europa League spot.

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So after last week’s results what do we know for sure:

Premier League

Champions – Man City
  • Manchester City are Champions.
  • Arsenal will finish second.
  • Newcastle have qualified for a Champions League place and will finish 3rd or 4th,
  • Man Utd need just one more point from their final two games to also claim a Champions League spot.
  • Liverpool could clinch a Champions League spot with a win and two Manchester United defeats (at home to Chelsea and then Fulham) but that seems very unlikely.
  • Liverpool and Brighton will likely qualify for the Europa League.
  • Aston Villa, Tottenham and Brentford are vying for a spot in the Europa Conference League.
  • Southampton are relegated.
  • Everton will avoid relegation with a win.
  • Leicester must win and hope Everton either lose or draw to leapfrog the Toffees in the table.
  • Leeds must win and hope Everton lose, or Leeds must win and Everton draw, but Leeds overturn a -3 goal deficit in order to stand a chance of staying up.

All of which sets up an interesting final day, especially in the battle for Europa Conference League football and to avoid relegation.

Let’s now take a closer look at the final set of games for this Premier League final week.

Premier League Matchday 38

  • Arsenal v Wolves

Neither of these two teams have much riding on this game other than professional pride as it is impossible for Arsenal to move from second, while unlikely that Wolves will move up from 12th. With home advantage and against a Wolves side shaky on the road, Arsenal should land the win here.

Correct Score Tip – Arsenal to win 2-0 – 8/1

  • Aston Villa v Brighton

Brighton locked up a Europa League spot after a 1-1 draw with Manchester City on Wednesday night, so the pressure is off Roberto de Zerbi’s team here. Villa still have European hopes of their own and a win would ensure they claim Europa Conference League football and they may just get it.

Correct Score Tip – Aston Villa to win 2-1 – 9/1

  • Brentford v Manchester City

Could Brentford land a very rare double over the Champions with a win here? With City likely to rest a number of key stars ahead of next weekend’s FA Cup, they do stand a chance. However, City’s back up squad is as strong as most Premier League teams first choice XI and as such, I think City will indeed pick up yet another win here.

Correct Score Tip – Brentford 1-2 Manchester City – 17/2

  • Chelsea v Newcastle United

These two teams have had contrasting seasons, Chelsea a nightmare, Newcastle a dream and both will be glad to see the end of a long season to refocus ahead of next year. Chelsea will want to finish with a win at home I am sure, but I think Newcastle are too well organised to let that happen, meaning a draw looks the best option here.

Correct Score Tip – Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle United – 6/1

  • Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest’s massive effort in last week’s 1-0 win over Arsenal that preserved their Premier League status, will certainly have drained Steve Cooper’s players and I can see the manager swapping a few players for this game against a Palace side also safe and who are in decent form at the moment. So much so that I’m expecting them to win here.

Correct Score Tip – Crystal Palace to win 2-0 – 9/1

  • Everton v Bournemouth

It’s straightforward for Everton here, a win and they stay in the Premier League, a draw or a loss and they are relying on other results elsewhere going their way in order to retain their top flight place. Bournemouth are safe, but won’t lie down here and I can see them making it a nervy 90 minutes or so for the Toffees fans here.

Correct Score Tip – Everton win 1-0 – 15/2

  • Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspurs

Leeds must win this game and hope results go their way in other matches to stand any chance of survival, but after so many games without a win and with confidence shot, I think this is going to be too big of an ask for the home side, especially against a Spurs side who still have the Europa Conference League to aim for.

Correct Score Tip – Leeds Utd 2-2 Tottenham – 11/1

  • Leicester City v West Ham United

Leicester City need to win this game to have any chance of staying up, and they face a West Ham side whose focus will very much be on their Europa Conference League final against Fiorentina in around 10 days time. That may well help Leicester here as I think the home side could land the win, but they will still be dependent on results elsewhere.

Correct Score Tip – Leicester to win 2-1 – 17/2

  • Manchester United v Fulham

Manchester United will have likely secured a place in the Champions League on Thursday night from their home game with Chelsea, but if not, then they can pick up the point they need here against a Fulham side that have done superbly well to finish in mid-table this season. United are very strong at home though and as such, I’d expect them to win here.

Correct Score Tip – Man Utd to win 3-1 – 11/1

  • Southampton v Liverpool

Southampton’s dismal home form has been the reason why they have struggled so badly this season. They face a Liverpool team who have had away day blues for most of the season but whose recent form is much improved which leads me to believe that the visitors will land the win here.

Correct Score Tip – Liverpool to win 3-1.- 10/1