Brentford vs Liverpool Preview: Narrow Home Favourites In Saturday Match
Brentford are 11/8 favourites against Liverpool. We weigh their attacking threat against recent draws, Gravenberch’s ban and the selection questions before LASK.
Brentford are the narrow Bet365 favourites against Liverpool, but an unbeaten run and a winning run are different animals. Liverpool arrive after a 3–0 home defeat by Manchester City, with Ryan Gravenberch suspended and Wednesday’s trip to LASK still ahead. The price deserves a closer look before anyone starts writing the visitors’ obituary.
Brentford v Liverpool
Saturday 17 October 2026 · 15:00 BST · Premier League · Gtech Community Stadium. Liverpool’s ticket information confirms the date, venue and kick-off. See our Premier League fixtures and previews for the rest of the programme.
| Market | Selection | Fractional odds |
|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Brentford | 11/8 |
| Full-time result | Draw | 11/4 |
| Full-time result | Liverpool | 8/5 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1/2 |
Brentford can hurt Liverpool without controlling the game
Brentford began this five-game stretch with draws at Leeds, 1–1, at home to Sunderland, 1–1, and at Bournemouth, 2–2. Their next two league results offer a useful contrast.
The 3–0 home win over Chelsea on 18 September gives Brentford a recent example of beating a heavyweight at the Gtech. Jaidon Anthony, Igor Thiago and Fábio Carvalho scored. That result makes the home price understandable; it doesn’t turn every subsequent fixture into a lap of honour.
Their 2–2 draw at Aston Villa on 10 October showed both sides of the argument. Schade won the ball high up the pitch before Thiago’s cross eventually reached Yehor Yarmoliuk for the opener. Later, Anthony’s turn and return pass allowed Kristoffer Ajer to equalise from close range. Brentford could create through pressure or a short combination, rather than waiting for a single type of opening.
Villa also forced Caoimhín Kelleher into a double save before half-time. Brentford remained unbeaten through six league matches, but the chances they conceded matter when judging a home win. Liverpool’s defence must finish the clearance after the first challenge; Brentford’s own back line has work to do as well.
Liverpool’s City defeat needs its red-card context
Liverpool’s official match report records a goalless game until Gravenberch’s second yellow card in the 62nd minute. Erling Haaland scored three minutes later, followed by Jeremy Doku and Rayan Cherki. A 3–0 defeat at Anfield is a dreadful afternoon by any measure, but those goals all came against ten men. Treating that spell as a forecast for 90 minutes at Brentford would give one red card an awfully busy job.
Liverpool also have recent away wins to set against it: 2–0 at Ipswich on 4 September and 1–0 at Bournemouth on 20 September. Isak scored both goals at Ipswich. Those results show why dismissing the visitors on the strength of Sunday alone would be rash, although Saturday’s available attack could look different.
Gravenberch is out; the LASK decisions are still ahead
Liverpool have confirmed a one-match league suspension for Gravenberch. He misses Brentford and can return against Brighton on 25 October. His absence forces a midfield change, with his replacement still unconfirmed.
The club’s 13 October team-news update lists Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak and Dominik Szoboszlai as still sidelined for the Champions League trip to LASK. Andoni Iraola could not confirm whether they would return for Brentford. Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike and Giovanni Leoni remain longer-term absentees.
LASK away comes first, on Wednesday 14 October at 17:45 BST. Iraola said changes were likely for that game because of freshness and minor fitness concerns. This preview is written before it: rotation may change Saturday’s options, and any extra knocks would matter, but the travel itinerary alone doesn’t prove Liverpool will run out of legs. There’s enough uncertainty without awarding Brentford a goal for the flight home.
Brentford have fitness questions of their own
Keith Andrews’ post-Villa update confirmed that Schade went off with a shoulder injury, while Schuster carried a knock into the game and came off at half-time after an ankle issue. Aaron Hickey replaced him at centre-back. Neither player’s availability for Liverpool is confirmed in that update.
Schade’s involvement in winning the ball before the Villa opener makes his fitness relevant to the home-win argument. If he is absent, Brentford need another player to provide that pressure and forward movement. Schuster’s condition also affects the defensive pairing. A clean bill of health for the hosts would be a convenient assumption, and a poor one.
Bet365 betting angle
Brentford to win at 11/8: the home victory over Chelsea and the ways they created at Villa give this angle a football basis. Gravenberch’s suspension adds a definite change for Liverpool to manage. The strongest objection is Brentford’s four draws in their last five league games: staying unbeaten still leaves a home-win selection short if the points are shared. Schade’s fitness matters too.
Both teams to score, yes, at 1/2: Brentford’s attacking openings and defensive scares at Villa make this a separate angle to examine. Liverpool’s clean-sheet wins at Ipswich and Bournemouth push back against it, while the uncertain availability of their forwards weakens any confident goals forecast. At this price at bet365, a lively match is not enough; both sides must actually score.
The BTTS guide explains that market. Our view is to keep the home-win case conditional on the teams and assess it separately from the shorter goals price; neither quote establishes value by itself. The prices above are from bet365 Sports.
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