Who Should I Back to Win the Group Stages of Euro 2024?

By Ian John
May 23, 2024

Euro 2024 is nearly upon us. The 24 international managers of the teams competing are formulating their preliminary squads before they name their official 26-man squads on the 7th June.

As these squads are announced, punters will get a better idea of how strong each Euro 2024 team will be. This allows us to gaze into the crystal ball and try to predict how the group stage of the tournament will go.

So what we have done is precisely that, using the odds provided by bet365 Sport on which teams will win their group as a marker. We’ve simulated the group stage to come up with the teams we believe will make the Round of 16.

Remember, bet365 Sport is offering extensive Outright betting markets on the tournament and will be offering a massive choice of pre-match and In-Play betting options throughout Euro 2024.

So how will this summer’s European Championships in Germany unfold? We have given you our predictions for each of the six groups below.

But first, let’s clarify how we will get to the 16 teams required for the Round of 16, from the 24 originally starting the Finals on June 14th.

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How do Euro 2024 Teams Win and Qualify from the Group Stages?

All 24 teams play three group-stage games, and 16 teams qualify for the knockout phase. These are: –

  • The six teams that win their group.
  • The six teams that finish second in their group.
  • The four third-placed teams with the best record from all six groups.

The Euro 2024 Round of 16 has already been decided with the following games.

Numbers denote the finishing position within the group. For example, 1A is the winner of Group A, 2C is the runner up of Group C etc.

Euro 2024

Euro 2024 Round of 16 Draw

29th June

  • Match 38 – Runner Up Group A v Runner Up Group B (Berlin, 5pm)
  • Match 37 – Winner Group A v Runner Up Group C (Dortmund, 8pm)

30th June

  • Match 40 – Winner Group C v 3rd Place from Group D or E or F (Gelsenkirchen, 5pm)
  • Match 39 – Winner Group B v 3rd Place from. Group A or D or E or F (Cologne, 8pm)

1st July

  • Match 42 – Runner Up Group D v Runner Up Group E (Dusseldorf, 5pm)
  • Match 41 – Winner Group F v 3rd Place Team from Group A or B or C (Frankfurt, 8pm)

2nd July

  • Match 43 – Winner Group E v 3rd Place Team from Group A or B or C or D (Munich, 5pm)
  • Match 44 – Winner Group D v 2nd Place Team from Group F (Leipzig, 8pm)

Now let’s focus on these all-important group stage games to predict who will fill the spaces in the fixtures above.

Euro 2024 Group Stage Data and Predictions

Group A

  • Germany
  • Scotland
  • Hungary
  • Switzerland

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 14th June – 8 p.m. – Germany v Scotland (Munich) – 2-0
  • 15th June – 2 p.m. – Hungary v Switzerland (Cologne) – 1-1
  • 19th June – 5 p.m. – Germany v Hungary (Stuttgart) – 2-2
  • 19th June – 8 p.m. – Scotland v Switzerland (Cologne) – 1-1
  • 23rd June – 8 p.m. – Switzerland v Germany (Frankfurt) – 0-1
  • 23rd June – 8p.m. – Scotland v Hungary (Stuttgart) – 1-3

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group A

  • Germany – 1.40
  • Scotland – 9.00
  • Hungary – 8.00
  • Switzerland – 6.50

Our Group A Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. Germany – 7pts
  2. Hungary – 5pts
  3. Switzerland – 2pts
  4. Scotland – 1pt

Group B

  • Spain
  • Croatia
  • Italy
  • Albania

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 15th June – 5 p.m. – Spain v Croatia (Berlin) – 2-1
  • 15th June – 8 p.m. – Italy v Albania (Dortmund) – 2-0
  • 19th June – 2 p.m. – Croatia v Albania (Hamburg) – 4-1
  • 20th June – 8 p.m. – Spain v Italy (Gelsenkirchen) – 2-1
  • 24th June – 8 p.m. – Albania v Spain (Dusseldorf) – 0-3
  • 24th June – 8 p.m. – Croatia v Italy (Leipzig) – 1-1

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group B

  • Spain – 1.80
  • Croatia – 5.50
  • Italy – 3.00
  • Albania – 26.00

Our Group B Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. Spain – 9pts
  2. Croatia – 4pts
  3. Italy – 4pts
  4. Albania – 0pts

Group C

  • Slovenia
  • Serbia
  • Denmark
  • England

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 16th June – 5 p.m. – Slovenia v Denmark (Stuttgart) – 0-1
  • 16th June – 8 p.m. – Serbia v England (Gelsenkirchen) – 0-2
  • 20th June – 2 p.m. – Slovenia v Serbia (Munich) – 1-1
  • 20th June – 5 p.m. – Denmark v England (Frankfurt) – 0-0
  • 25th June – 8 p.m. – Denmark v Serbia (Munich) – 2-2
  • 25th June – 8 p.m. – England v Slovenia (Cologne) – 3-1

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group C

  • Slovenia – 11.00
  • Serbia – 9.00
  • Denmark – 5.00
  • England – 1.40

Our Group C Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. England – 7pts
  2. Denmark – 5pts
  3. Serbia – 2pts
  4. Slovenia – 1pt
Football Season

Group D

  • Poland
  • Netherlands
  • Austria
  • France

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 16th June – 2 p.m. – Poland v Netherlands (Hamburg) – 0-3
  • 17th June – 8 p.m. – Austria v France (Dusseldorf) – 1-2
  • 21st June – 5 p.m. – Poland v Austria (Berlin) – 1-2
  • 21st June – 8 p.m. – Netherlands v France (Leipzig) – 2-3
  • 25th June – 5 p.m. – France v Poland (Dortmund) – 2-1
  • 25th June – 5 p.m. – Netherlands v Austria (Berlin) – 1-1

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group D

  • Poland – 11.00
  • Netherlands – 3.75
  • Austria – 9.00
  • France – 1.53

Our Group D Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. France – 9pts
  2. Netherlands – 4pts
  3. Austria – 4pts
  4. Poland – 0pts

Group E

  • Belgium
  • Slovakia
  • Romania
  • Ukraine

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 17th June – 2 p.m. – Romania v Ukraine (Munich) – 1-1
  • 17th June – 5 p.m. – Belgium v Slovakia (Frankfurt) – 3-1
  • 21st June –  2 p.m. – Slovakia v Ukraine (Dusseldorf) – 0-1
  • 22nd June – 8 p.m. – Belgium v Romania (Cologne) – 3-0
  • 26th June – 5 p.m. – Slovakia v Romania (Frankfurt) – 2-1
  • 26th June – 5 p.m. – Ukraine v Belgium (Stuttgart) – 0-0

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group E

  • Belgium – 1.40
  • Slovakia – 11.00
  • Romania – 7.00
  • Ukraine – 6.50

Our Group E Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. Belgium – 7pts
  2. Ukraine – 5pts
  3. Slovakia – 3pts
  4. Romania – 1pt

Group F

  • Turkey
  • Georgia
  • Portugal
  • Czechia

Fixtures and Match Predictions

  • 18th June – 5 p.m. – Turkey v Georgia (Dortmund) – 3-1
  • 18th June – 8 p.m. – Portugal v Czechia (Leipzig) – 2-0
  • 22nd June – 2 p.m. – Georgia v Czechia (Hamburg) – 0-1
  • 22nd June – 5 p.m. – Turkey v Portugal (Dortmund) – 1-2
  • 26th June – 8 p.m. – Georgia v Portugal (Gelsenkirchen) 1-4
  • 26th June – 8 p.m. – Czechia v Turkey (Hamburg) 0-2

Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group F

  • Turkey – 5.00
  • Georgia – 17.00
  • Portugal – 1.44
  • Czechia – 6.50

Our Group F Finishing Positions Prediction

  1. Portugal – 9pts
  2. Turkey – 6pts
  3. Czechia – 3pts
  4. Georgia – 0pts

Who Would Qualify as the Four Best Ranked Third Placed Teams at Euro 2024?

If our predictions are accurate, then the following teams indicated in bold would qualify as the best third-placed teams in Euro 2024.

  1. Italy – 4pts (Group B)
  2. Austria – 4pts (Group D)
  3. Slovakia – 3pts (Group E)
  4. Czechia – 3pts (Group F)
  5. Switzerland – 2pts (Group A)
  6. Serbia – 2pts (Group C)

Possible Euro 2024 Round of 16 Draw Based on the Above

We outlined the Euro 2024 Round of 16 draw above and filling in the blanks using the predictions above would give us the following Round of 16.

29th June

  • Match 38 – Hungary v Croatia (Berlin, 5pm)
  • Match 37 – Germany v Denmark (Dortmund, 8pm)

30th June

  • Match 40 – England v Slovakia (Gelsenkirchen, 5pm)
  • Match 39 – Spain v Czechia (Cologne, 8pm)

1st July

  • Match 42 – Netherlands v Ukraine (Dusseldorf, 5pm)
  • Match 41 – Portugal v Italy  (Frankfurt, 8pm)

2nd July

  • Match 43 – Belgium v Austria (Munich, 5pm)
  • Match 44 – France v Turkey (Leipzig, 8pm)

If the predictions are correct, this would lead to the following Euro 2024 quarter-finals and semi-finals.

5th July

  • Match 45 – Spain / Czechia v Germany / Denmark
  • Match 46 – Portugal / Italy v Netherlands / Ukraine

The winners of these two quarterfinals would then play in the first semi-final

6th July

  • Match 48 – England / Slovakia v Hungary / Croatia
  • Match 47 – Belgium / Austria v France / Turkey

The winners of these two quarterfinals would then play in the second semi-final.

So, as you can see, there are plenty of great Euro 2024 matches in store this summer, and you can clearly see which teams we’d back to win each of the groups and who should qualify.

There are plenty of great offers at bet365 Sport for football fans over the season. For Euro 2024, there is also the exciting bet365 Free Fantasy Euros game available to play. If you are not yet a member, sign up today and claim the welcome bonus, which offers you bet365 Credits!

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