Who Should I Back to Win the Group Stages of Euro 2024?
By Ian John
May 23, 2024
Euro 2024 is nearly upon us. The 24 international managers of the teams competing are formulating their preliminary squads before they name their official 26-man squads on the 7th June.
As these squads are announced, punters will get a better idea of how strong each Euro 2024 team will be. This allows us to gaze into the crystal ball and try to predict how the group stage of the tournament will go.
So what we have done is precisely that, using the odds provided by bet365 Sport on which teams will win their group as a marker. We’ve simulated the group stage to come up with the teams we believe will make the Round of 16.
Remember, bet365 Sport is offering extensive Outright betting markets on the tournament and will be offering a massive choice of pre-match and In-Play betting options throughout Euro 2024.
So how will this summer’s European Championships in Germany unfold? We have given you our predictions for each of the six groups below.
But first, let’s clarify how we will get to the 16 teams required for the Round of 16, from the 24 originally starting the Finals on June 14th.
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How do Euro 2024 Teams Win and Qualify from the Group Stages?
All 24 teams play three group-stage games, and 16 teams qualify for the knockout phase. These are: –
The six teams that win their group.
The six teams that finish second in their group.
The four third-placed teams with the best record from all six groups.
The Euro 2024 Round of 16 has already been decided with the following games.
Numbers denote the finishing position within the group. For example, 1A is the winner of Group A, 2C is the runner up of Group C etc.
Euro 2024 Round of 16 Draw
29th June
Match 38 – Runner Up Group A v Runner Up Group B (Berlin, 5pm)
Match 37 – Winner Group A v Runner Up Group C (Dortmund, 8pm)
30th June
Match 40 – Winner Group C v 3rd Place from Group D or E or F (Gelsenkirchen, 5pm)
Match 39 – Winner Group B v 3rd Place from. Group A or D or E or F (Cologne, 8pm)
1st July
Match 42 – Runner Up Group D v Runner Up Group E (Dusseldorf, 5pm)
Match 41 – Winner Group F v 3rd Place Team from Group A or B or C (Frankfurt, 8pm)
2nd July
Match 43 – Winner Group E v 3rd Place Team from Group A or B or C or D (Munich, 5pm)
Match 44 – Winner Group D v 2nd Place Team from Group F (Leipzig, 8pm)
Now let’s focus on these all-important group stage games to predict who will fill the spaces in the fixtures above.
Euro 2024 Group Stage Data and Predictions
Group A
Germany
Scotland
Hungary
Switzerland
Fixtures and Match Predictions
14th June – 8 p.m. – Germany v Scotland (Munich) – 2-0
15th June – 2 p.m. – Hungary v Switzerland (Cologne) – 1-1
19th June – 5 p.m. – Germany v Hungary (Stuttgart) – 2-2
19th June – 8 p.m. – Scotland v Switzerland (Cologne) – 1-1
23rd June – 8 p.m. – Switzerland v Germany (Frankfurt) – 0-1
23rd June – 8p.m. – Scotland v Hungary (Stuttgart) – 1-3
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group A
Germany – 1.40
Scotland – 9.00
Hungary – 8.00
Switzerland – 6.50
Our Group A Finishing Positions Prediction
Germany – 7pts
Hungary – 5pts
Switzerland – 2pts
Scotland – 1pt
Group B
Spain
Croatia
Italy
Albania
Fixtures and Match Predictions
15th June – 5 p.m. – Spain v Croatia (Berlin) – 2-1
15th June – 8 p.m. – Italy v Albania (Dortmund) – 2-0
19th June – 2 p.m. – Croatia v Albania (Hamburg) – 4-1
20th June – 8 p.m. – Spain v Italy (Gelsenkirchen) – 2-1
24th June – 8 p.m. – Albania v Spain (Dusseldorf) – 0-3
24th June – 8 p.m. – Croatia v Italy (Leipzig) – 1-1
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group B
Spain – 1.80
Croatia – 5.50
Italy – 3.00
Albania – 26.00
Our Group B Finishing Positions Prediction
Spain – 9pts
Croatia – 4pts
Italy – 4pts
Albania – 0pts
Group C
Slovenia
Serbia
Denmark
England
Fixtures and Match Predictions
16th June – 5 p.m. – Slovenia v Denmark (Stuttgart) – 0-1
16th June – 8 p.m. – Serbia v England (Gelsenkirchen) – 0-2
20th June – 2 p.m. – Slovenia v Serbia (Munich) – 1-1
20th June – 5 p.m. – Denmark v England (Frankfurt) – 0-0
25th June – 8 p.m. – Denmark v Serbia (Munich) – 2-2
25th June – 8 p.m. – England v Slovenia (Cologne) – 3-1
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group C
Slovenia – 11.00
Serbia – 9.00
Denmark – 5.00
England – 1.40
Our Group C Finishing Positions Prediction
England – 7pts
Denmark – 5pts
Serbia – 2pts
Slovenia – 1pt
Group D
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
France
Fixtures and Match Predictions
16th June – 2 p.m. – Poland v Netherlands (Hamburg) – 0-3
17th June – 8 p.m. – Austria v France (Dusseldorf) – 1-2
21st June – 5 p.m. – Poland v Austria (Berlin) – 1-2
21st June – 8 p.m. – Netherlands v France (Leipzig) – 2-3
25th June – 5 p.m. – France v Poland (Dortmund) – 2-1
25th June – 5 p.m. – Netherlands v Austria (Berlin) – 1-1
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group D
Poland – 11.00
Netherlands – 3.75
Austria – 9.00
France – 1.53
Our Group D Finishing Positions Prediction
France – 9pts
Netherlands – 4pts
Austria – 4pts
Poland – 0pts
Group E
Belgium
Slovakia
Romania
Ukraine
Fixtures and Match Predictions
17th June – 2 p.m. – Romania v Ukraine (Munich) – 1-1
17th June – 5 p.m. – Belgium v Slovakia (Frankfurt) – 3-1
21st June – 2 p.m. – Slovakia v Ukraine (Dusseldorf) – 0-1
22nd June – 8 p.m. – Belgium v Romania (Cologne) – 3-0
26th June – 5 p.m. – Slovakia v Romania (Frankfurt) – 2-1
26th June – 5 p.m. – Ukraine v Belgium (Stuttgart) – 0-0
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group E
Belgium – 1.40
Slovakia – 11.00
Romania – 7.00
Ukraine – 6.50
Our Group E Finishing Positions Prediction
Belgium – 7pts
Ukraine – 5pts
Slovakia – 3pts
Romania – 1pt
Group F
Turkey
Georgia
Portugal
Czechia
Fixtures and Match Predictions
18th June – 5 p.m. – Turkey v Georgia (Dortmund) – 3-1
18th June – 8 p.m. – Portugal v Czechia (Leipzig) – 2-0
22nd June – 2 p.m. – Georgia v Czechia (Hamburg) – 0-1
22nd June – 5 p.m. – Turkey v Portugal (Dortmund) – 1-2
26th June – 8 p.m. – Georgia v Portugal (Gelsenkirchen) 1-4
26th June – 8 p.m. – Czechia v Turkey (Hamburg) 0-2
Latest Betting Odds at bet365 To Win Group F
Turkey – 5.00
Georgia – 17.00
Portugal – 1.44
Czechia – 6.50
Our Group F Finishing Positions Prediction
Portugal – 9pts
Turkey – 6pts
Czechia – 3pts
Georgia – 0pts
Who Would Qualify as the Four Best Ranked Third Placed Teams at Euro 2024?
If our predictions are accurate, then the following teams indicated in bold would qualify as the best third-placed teams in Euro 2024.
Italy – 4pts (Group B)
Austria – 4pts (Group D)
Slovakia – 3pts (Group E)
Czechia – 3pts (Group F)
Switzerland – 2pts (Group A)
Serbia – 2pts (Group C)
Possible Euro 2024 Round of 16 Draw Based on the Above
We outlined the Euro 2024 Round of 16 draw above and filling in the blanks using the predictions above would give us the following Round of 16.
29th June
Match 38 – Hungary v Croatia (Berlin, 5pm)
Match 37 – Germany v Denmark (Dortmund, 8pm)
30th June
Match 40 – England v Slovakia (Gelsenkirchen, 5pm)
Match 39 – Spain v Czechia (Cologne, 8pm)
1st July
Match 42 – Netherlands v Ukraine (Dusseldorf, 5pm)
Match 41 – Portugal v Italy (Frankfurt, 8pm)
2nd July
Match 43 – Belgium v Austria (Munich, 5pm)
Match 44 – France v Turkey (Leipzig, 8pm)
If the predictions are correct, this would lead to the following Euro 2024 quarter-finals and semi-finals.
5th July
Match 45 – Spain / Czechia v Germany / Denmark
Match 46 – Portugal / Italy v Netherlands / Ukraine
The winners of these two quarterfinals would then play in the first semi-final
6th July
Match 48 – England / Slovakia v Hungary / Croatia
Match 47 – Belgium / Austria v France / Turkey
The winners of these two quarterfinals would then play in the second semi-final.
So, as you can see, there are plenty of great Euro 2024 matches in store this summer, and you can clearly see which teams we’d back to win each of the groups and who should qualify.
There are plenty of great offers at bet365 Sport for football fans over the season. For Euro 2024, there is also the exciting bet365 Free Fantasy Euros game available to play. If you are not yet a member, sign up today and claim the welcome bonus, which offers you bet365 Credits!
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