Spurs v Coventry: Why Are The Winless Spurs Small Favourites?
Spurs are short favourites despite three league goals in six games. We compare Bet365’s prices with Coventry’s recent wins and examine the draw and goals markets.
Spurs have managed three league goals and no wins in six matches, yet Bet365 makes them 9/20 favourites against Coventry. That is a rather confident price for a side whose finishing has spent much of the season looking for the instruction manual.
Coventry arrive after consecutive wins, including a 4–1 victory over Newcastle. The useful question is whether Spurs can turn their chances into goals, and whether the draw or a lower-scoring game makes a stronger case than simply trusting the home favourite.
Spurs v Coventry
Monday 19 October 2026 · 8pm BST · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The Premier League schedule lists this match live on Sky Sports in the UK. Our Premier League fixtures and previews cover the rest of the round.
| Market | Selection | Fractional odds |
|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Spurs | 9/20 |
| Full-time result | Draw | 7/2 |
| Full-time result | Coventry | 6/1 |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 23/40 |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 27/20 |
Bet365 odds checked 16 October 2026 at 7.10am BST. All markets shown cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Fractional prices are converted from the quoted decimal odds. Odds are subject to change.
For welcome-offer information, see our Bet365 bonus codes guide. The prices above concern this match, separately from any new-customer offer.
The price needs more than the Spurs name
Bet365’s 9/20 is 1.45 in decimal odds, equivalent to a raw implied probability of about 69% before allowing for the bookmaker’s margin. It describes the price, not a measured probability that Spurs will win. The league’s record of their opening five games shows two goals and no victories; their subsequent draw at Manchester United took them to three goals and three points from six matches.
There is a football argument for improvement. In the 1–1 draw at Old Trafford, Solanke missed a chance from Sávio’s low cross before eventually heading in Sandro Tonali’s delivery in the second minute of added time. Spurs had already lost Rodrigo Bentancur to a red card. Reaching the right areas and converting the chance are separate problems; this performance supplied evidence of the former without settling the latter.
That makes the delivery into Solanke a useful detail to watch against Coventry. Can Spurs find him early enough to finish before defenders close him down? It is a more specific test than assuming a home fixture will cure the scoring problem. Coventry still have to defend those deliveries, even if Spurs’ recent return gives them reason for encouragement.
Coventry have earned a hearing
Jay Dasilva’s goal brought a 1–0 win at Nottingham Forest on 19 September, before Coventry followed it with the 4–1 home victory over Newcastle on 12 October. Two wins offer a better argument for taking them seriously than the 6/1 away price might suggest, although they do not establish how often Coventry would win this particular match.
The counterweight is their 5–0 home defeat by Brighton on 13 September. Coventry finished that game with ten men and had failed to score in their first four league fixtures. The dismissal matters when judging the score; so does the fact that a two-match improvement is still a small sample. Picking only the Newcastle result would be a generous bit of editing.
Availability: separate the squad list from the team sheet
Richarlison is absent from Spurs’ registered Premier League squad. His club biography records 12 goals last season, 11 in the league, so he cannot simply be pencilled in as the answer to their current finishing problem.
The official fitness updates checked on 16 October pre-date this fixture. In Spurs’ 9 October bulletin, De Zerbi said Kulusevski was training but still being assessed week by week; Porro was recovering from a hamstring injury. Travelling with the squad to Manchester did not establish that either could play against Coventry.
In Coventry’s 8 October update, Lampard put Haji Wright’s return at November at the earliest. Milan van Ewijk and Kaine Kesler-Hayden were back training, while Josh Eccles, Luke Woolfenden and Aurèle Amenda were still recovering. These are dated updates, not a confirmed Monday squad. The final selections matter particularly to any argument that Spurs’ attacking options have improved.
Bet365 betting angle
Under 2.5 total goals at 27/20 is the angle most closely tied to Spurs’ scoring problem. It allows for a narrow home win, a narrow Coventry win or a draw, provided the match produces no more than two goals. The draw at 7/2 asks for something more specific: the teams must finish level, regardless of the total.
Under 2.5 is the more direct way to examine a low-scoring Spurs performance without also needing Coventry to match their score. Its strongest objection is that Spurs created chances at Old Trafford, while Coventry’s last home game produced five goals. An early goal could leave plenty of time for the match to open up; the low total is an argument to assess, not a promise of a quiet evening.
The draw remains a plausible alternative if Coventry frustrate Spurs, but two recent Coventry wins do not make a stalemate the obvious conclusion.
At these prices, the case for opposing Spurs’ short odds needs more work than pointing at the table and raising an eyebrow. Check the confirmed teams before deciding how much weight to give the finishing and availability evidence.
You can view bet365 Sports for its available markets. Neither angle is a claim of proven value or a prediction of winnings.
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