As promised, we are back this week with our latest set of tips for the Premier League games taking place across Saturday, Sunday and Monday evening this week.
Having been eliminated from the Champions League, Liverpool now face Leeds United at Elland Road in what is a pivotal Monday night clash for both teams, especially Leeds are the only team to have won at Anfield this season.
Before that though we have nine matches involving the other 18 teams in the division, with the most intriguing match likely to be Aston Villa facing Newcastle in the lunchtime battle between two of the division’s most in-form teams.
Leaders Arsenal travel to West Ham for a London derby, while Manchester City host struggling Leicester City at the Etihad fresh from a scintillating 3-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarterfinals in midweek.
We will bring you our tips for all the games in the Premier League below, but first let’s recap how the games went last weekend on Matchday 30.
Despite the draw, Arsenal remain top of the Premier League table but their lead had been cut to six points with Manchester City having a game in hand, plus a home game against Arsenal still to come.
Newcastle remain third after their win at Brentford, level on points with Manchester United but with a much better goal difference.
Aston Villa’s win moved them up to sixth in the table, their highest place of the season so far.
At the bottom of the table, Southampton and Leicester remain in the bottom two but Bournemouth move out with Nottingham Forest replacing the Cherries after their loss to Aston Villa at Villa Park.
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Kick off times are 3pm unless otherwise stated. All odds shown were correct at the time of publication with bet365 Sport but may have changed in the meantime.
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last seven games, winning six of those and they take on a Newcastle United side that have won all their last five games after a blip of form in the middle of the season. As such, this clash at Villa Park promises to be a very exciting and intriguing one.
Villa’s Ollie Watkins has been in outstanding goalscoring form for his team in recent games and he scored his 12th goal of the season against Nottingham Forest last week. Nine of those goals have come in just the past 11 games.
However, he will be up against the best defence in the Premier League this season with Newcastle’s successes built on their rock solid back line, led by Sven Botman at the heart of the defence, while going forward they rely on the brilliance of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes, as well as the attacking prowess of Isak and Wilson.
This should be a cracker and it will be a close one and I think a draw is the likely outcome here.
Top Tip – Draw – 12/5
Southampton’s woeful home record has continued all season long and with Crystal Palace winning their last two under Roy Hodgson, including a 5-1 away win at Leeds last week, the Londoners should be confident of picking up another win here.
It has been a long and miserable season for the home side in front of their own fans and as they now lie four points off safety, it is hard to see them gathering enough points to get themselves out of the drop zone and if they are to do that, then a win here is an absolute must for them I feel.
The problem is, I just can’t see it. Palace looked very effective in the second half against Leeds last week and while I can’t see the same scoreline, I do feel the result of an away win will be the same.
Top Tip – Crystal Palace to win 17/10
Everton sit one place outside the relegation, level on points but with a ten-better goal difference than Nottingham Forest. However, under Sean Dyche, their home form has been much improved in particular and they will fancy their chances here against a Fulha side struggling for form.
Marco Silva’s team have lost all their last four games to drop into mid-table in the Premier League and with Aleksandr Mitrovic banned for the vast majority of the remainder of the season, their main goal threat will also be sat on the side lines for this game.
All that seems to point to me to a closely fought contest where defences may well be on top for large portions of the game, but Everton do tend to find a way to score a goal at home and I think that could well be the difference between the two teams in the game here.
Top Tip – Everton to win 1-0 – 6/1
Spurs managed to beat Brighton last week, but not without the help of an incompetent VAR official who denied Brighton a clear penalty when the game was tied at 1-1. However, Spurs dug in and scored a late winner through Harry Kane to secure a vital win.
Now they face a Bournemouth side who landed another home win last week thanks to Peter Billing, who is chiming in with some vital goals in their battle against the drop and the big Dane will likely be a man Spurs will need to stop here if they are to win the game.
Bournemouth have won more of their last five games in the EPL than Spurs (3 to 2), but their form on the road has been poor all season long and with Harry Kane in good form and Son scoring his 100th Premier League goal last weekend, I think that points to a home win here.
Top Tip – Bet Boost – Match Result Spurs, Kane & Son Over 1.5 Shots in match each – 5/1
Wolves have picked up a vital four points in their last two EPL games, while Brentford have picked up just two points from their last four. Four places separate the two teams in the table, but in terms of points, Brentford are 12 points better off than the home side.
Both teams have had very different seasons and there is no doubt that the visitors are a better side at home, something which may well play into Wolves hands given that the Molineux outfit have landed some good wins at home of late, against Chelsea and Liverpool for example.
You do have to respect Brentford though as they can score goals from anywhere on the pitch and have Ivan Toney in good form. I can’t see too many goals being scored here and while any result is possible, I feel a draw is the most likely one.
Top Tip – Draw – 21/10
Brighton were hard done to last week away to Spurs when denied a clear penalty when the game was delicately poised at 1-1. They now face a Chelsea side who will have half an eye on their Champions League Quarterfinal second leg tie against Real Madrid on Tuesday night.
Frank Lampard has overseen two defeats in his two games in charge and he badly needs a good performance from his team here, not just to put their league form back on track, but to give them some confidence heading into the second leg against Real.
Brighton though will know that Chelsea could be ready for the taking here and given how well the Seagulls have played against the big six sides in the Premier League this season, I can see them getting something from this game, even if it is just a point.
Top Tip – Draw – 12/5
These two sides have had such contrasting seasons it is hard to think that a couple of years ago, Leicester won here 5-2. Now though, City are in the midst of a fantastic run of wins, including a brilliant performance in a 3-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarterfinal 1st leg in midweek.
In contrast, Leicester limped to a poor 1-0 home defeat to Bournemouth last weekend and there does seem to be a complete breakdown at the club in terms of the players and their team ethos. This team is a pale shadow of the Leicester team of a few years ago.
As such, if there is going to be one team scoring five goals in this game, then it is much more likely to be the home side as they rack up another big win as they seek to haul in Arsenal in the race for the Premier League title.
Top Tip – Manchester City 5-0 Leicester City – 16/1
West Ham have a very poor record against Arsenal, winning one of the last 15 games between the two and only managing a couple of draws in that run. So they won’t be too happy to see the Gunners coming to the London Stadium in a week when the Hammers had a Europa Conference League quarterfinal away to Gent.
Arsenal though now know that they cannot afford another slip up with Manchester City in great form and now just six points, with a game in hand and with Arsenal still to visit the Etihad in the league this season.
That may just focus Arsenal’s mind a little more for this game and I can see that being a positive for the Gunners against a team that they have the better of historically for some time now.
Top Tip – Arsenal to win and both teams to score – 12/5
Forest dropped into the relegation zone again last week after losing to Aston Villa, and they probably didn’t want to be facing a side that has beaten them every time in the last nine games that they have played against each other, which includes an 8-1 win for Man Utd in this fixture back in 1999.
United do need an away win after defeats to Liverpool and Newcastle on the road hurt their chances of becoming part of the title race and now with Newcastle in good form, and Tottenham breathing down their necks, United cannot afford to slip up and miss out on the Champions League again this season.
Forest have had some good wins at home this season, the one over Liverpool leaps to mind, but I think that they may find this United side a little too hot to handle here.
Top Tip – Man Utd to win to nil – 7/4
Leeds will have plenty to prove to their fans after losing 5-1 at home to Crystal Palace last weekend, a result which keeps Leeds very much embroiled in the relegation battle. However, they face a team that they have already beaten once this season at Anfield too.
Liverpool’s disastrous away form has seen them plummet from title contenders last year to also-rans this and Jurgen Klopp and his team seem bewildered at how to improve things and Elland Road is not the easiest place to go and overturn the form book.
I’ve backed Liverpool away from home several times and they have let me down a few times, so I am not going to fall for that again, so I am backing Leeds to land a massively important win here.
Top Tip – Leeds to win – 16/5.
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