The 2026/27 relegation book on this page is singles only: a share-of-bets liability split at bet365, not the acca-inclusive Top Four pot. It shows where singles money has landed. Figures correct at time of writing on 21 August 2026 (Europe/London).
This is not the same book as the Top Four share-of-bets table.
The companion piece on the last Champions League seat uses whole-market share-of-bets. Accumulators are inside that pot. The figures below are a narrower product: To Be Relegated singles only. They are more speculative by construction. A single on a long-priced drop is a different stake from an accumulator that tags a favourite into a multi-leg coupon.
Read them as a liability split — where singles money has landed — not as a ranking of which club is more likely to go down. Odds and singles shares are correct at time of writing on 21 August 2026 (Europe/London) and are subject to change.
Whole-market share-of-bets smooths a price. Favourites pick up accumulator volume because they are easy to include. Singles strip that out. What remains is the money that stood on one selection, one market.
That is why the two tables should not be stacked into one story. The Top Four map is an acca-inclusive money split across six clubs. This relegation read is a singles concentration, and the UK column is dominated by one club.
Five clubs take the recorded global singles share.
| Club | Global singles share |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | 24.3% |
| Newcastle United | 18.8% |
| Coventry City | 17.9% |
| Hull City | 17.2% |
| Fulham | 6.8% |
City lead the global singles pot at 24.3%. Newcastle, Coventry and Hull then sit in a band between 18.8% and 17.2%. Fulham is the fifth name at 6.8%. That is a different shape from a typical “promoted clubs plus one” relegation coupon: the global singles column has a current Premier League name at the top of the liabilities, then three sides bunched underneath.
Those percentages still do not mean City, or anyone else on the list, is more likely to be relegated. They mean that is where the singles stakes sat when the book was read.
The UK singles column is not a copy of the global one.
| Club | UK singles share |
|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 46.8% |
| Manchester City | 23.9% |
| Hull City | 6.9% |
| Fulham | 4.2% |
| Tottenham | 3.0% |
Newcastle hold 46.8% of the UK singles book. That is not a rounding difference. It is almost half the recorded UK singles money in this snapshot, against 18.8% globally.
City remain second in the UK at 23.9%, close to their 24.3% global share. After that the UK book thins out: Hull 6.9%, Fulham 4.2%, Tottenham 3.0%. Coventry, third globally at 17.9%, is not in this UK top five. Tottenham, who appear in the Top Four whole-market table as a 3/1 Champions League outsider, appear here as 3.0% of UK relegation singles.
Two books, two products. The Top Four piece is a six-club acca-inclusive split. This one is a singles concentration with a 46.8% UK spike.
Steve Freeth put the singles turnover in that frame:
“The three promoted teams are expected to find it difficult, but we have seen some eye-catching turnover away from the accumulator business. It has been a challenging summer for Newcastle, with significant changes both on and off the pitch, and we have seen noticeable UK interest in the Tyneside club, with their odds for the drop tumbling from 40/1 to 8/1, taking 46.8% of the UK market.”
The only price path recorded here is that one: Newcastle from 40/1 to 8/1. No other relegation prices are being added to this draft.
Coventry and Hull — two of the promoted names — sit in the global singles top five (17.9% and 17.2%). Hull is also third in the UK singles list at 6.9%. That matches Freeth’s line that promoted sides are expected to find it difficult, while the “eye-catching” singles turnover he flagged sits with Newcastle rather than with those promoted clubs in the UK column.
City are 24.3% of global relegation singles and 23.9% of the UK singles book. Freeth’s note on that prominence:
“Manchester City struggled in the Community Shield and are having to deal with the loss of Pep Guardiola, Rodri, and Bernardo Silva. However, their prominence in the liabilities is likely due to the charges that still linger.”
That is the line. City’s place in this table is a liabilities observation. It is not a statement that the club will be punished, charged, or relegated.
The To Be Relegated market is on bet365. One generic sports link: bet here.
The global singles list is a five-club spread with City at 24.3% and Newcastle / Coventry / Hull bunched behind. The UK singles list is something else: Newcastle at 46.8%, City at 23.9%, then a long drop to Hull, Fulham and Tottenham.
Hold that next to the Top Four whole-market map — Arsenal 23.21% globally, Chelsea 21.91%, no 46% spike — and the two drafts are describing different products. One is acca-inclusive share of a Champions League book. This one is singles liability on the drop, with UK money clustered on Tyneside and City present in the liabilities for the reason Freeth gave.
Neither table is a prediction. Both are staking snapshots, correct at time of writing on 21 August 2026 (Europe/London) and subject to change.
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