The 2026/27 relegation book on this page is singles only: a share-of-bets liability split at bet365, not the acca-inclusive Top Four pot. It shows where singles money has landed. Figures correct at time of writing on 21 August 2026 (Europe/London).
Bet365’s early relegation figures reveal where customers have placed single bets on the 2026/27 Premier League drop.
These figures should not be confused with the share-of-bets data used in the Top Four market. That market includes accumulators, while the relegation data covers bets placed as singles on the To Be Relegated market.
The percentages show how the recorded singles stakes were divided at the time of writing. They do not represent the probability of relegation or a prediction of the final league table.
Figures were correct on 21 August 2026 and are subject to change.
Accumulator betting tends to favour short-priced selections that can be added to a larger bet. Singles provide a more focused picture because the customer is backing one team in one market.
That distinction matters here. A single bet on a long-priced club to be relegated is very different from adding a heavy favourite to an accumulator.
The figures should therefore be viewed as a snapshot of where relegation money has landed, rather than an assessment of which clubs are most likely to go down.
Five clubs account for the largest recorded shares of global singles stakes.
| Club | Global singles share |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | 24.3% |
| Newcastle United | 18.8% |
| Coventry City | 17.9% |
| Hull City | 17.2% |
| Fulham | 6.8% |
Manchester City lead the global figures with 24.3% of the recorded singles stakes. Newcastle United, Coventry City and Hull City are grouped closely behind, with each attracting between 17.2% and 18.8%.
Fulham complete the top five with 6.8%.
It is an unusual distribution. Rather than being dominated entirely by promoted clubs, the list has Manchester City at the top and Newcastle in second place.
That does not mean customers collectively believe those two clubs are the most likely to be relegated. It simply shows where the singles stakes were concentrated when the data was recorded.
The UK figures have a very different shape.
| Club | UK singles share |
|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 46.8% |
| Manchester City | 23.9% |
| Hull City | 6.9% |
| Fulham | 4.2% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 3.0% |
Newcastle account for 46.8% of the recorded UK singles stakes—almost half of the entire UK snapshot. That compares with a much smaller, although still significant, global share of 18.8%.
Manchester City sit second with 23.9%, almost matching their 24.3% global figure.
There is then a considerable drop to Hull City at 6.9%, Fulham at 4.2% and Tottenham Hotspur at 3.0%.
Coventry provide another notable difference between the two sets of figures. They rank third globally with 17.9% but do not appear among the five most-backed teams in the UK data.
The clearest feature of the UK table is therefore not the overall order, but the concentration of singles stakes on Newcastle.
Bet365’s Steve Freeth said the three promoted clubs were expected to face difficult seasons, but the bookmaker had also recorded notable singles turnover away from accumulator betting.
Newcastle have attracted particularly strong interest following a challenging summer involving significant changes on and off the pitch.
According to bet365, that UK interest contributed to Newcastle’s relegation odds shortening from 40/1 to 8/1. The club accounted for 46.8% of the recorded UK singles stakes at the time of writing.
The movement in price is significant, but it should still be interpreted carefully. A large share of bets can be influenced by the size and timing of individual stakes, especially in an early market.
Among the promoted clubs, Coventry and Hull both appear in the global top five. Coventry attracted 17.9% of global singles stakes, while Hull received 17.2%.
Hull also appear in the UK table, although their 6.9% share is far below the level recorded for Newcastle.
Manchester City account for 24.3% of the global singles stakes and 23.9% of the UK total.
Freeth suggested that City’s position in the liabilities may be connected to the charges that continue to hang over the club. He also pointed to changes involving Pep Guardiola, Rodri and Bernardo Silva, as well as City’s performance in the Community Shield.
City’s presence in the data should not be treated as confirmation that the club will receive a sporting punishment or be relegated. It only shows that enough singles money has been placed on that outcome to make City a prominent liability for the bookmaker.
The current To Be Relegated market is available through bet365.
Globally, the recorded singles stakes are spread relatively evenly across four clubs. Manchester City lead with 24.3%, followed by Newcastle, Coventry and Hull, all of whom sit between 17.2% and 18.8%.
The UK market is much more concentrated. Newcastle alone account for 46.8%, with Manchester City taking another 23.9%. Together, the two clubs represent more than 70% of the UK singles stakes included in the snapshot.
That makes the UK interest in Newcastle the standout finding. Their share is substantially higher than their global figure and has accompanied a move in the relegation price from 40/1 to 8/1.
However, neither table should be read as a predicted league table. The figures measure the distribution of singles stakes at a specific point in time—not the bookmaker’s assessment of each club’s relegation probability.
All figures were correct on 21 August 2026 and are subject to change. Gamble responsibly. Visit bet365’s Safer Gambling page or GambleAware for information, advice and support.
18+ Always remember to gamble responsibly. Check out bet365’s Safer Gambling page for more details or go to GambleAware.org for advice, tools and support.
All contents are ©
Bet365 Bonus Code, Sports, Casino and Poker Sign up offers and News
18+ Worried about your gambling?  Gamcare - When the fun stops – STOP!
